Bill Knudson

10 Year US Treasury Rates Increased 31 BSP

For the 7-day period ending April 7th, 2022, 10-Year Treasury rates increased 31 bps while mortgage rates were up 5 bps. This caused the net spread to Decrease from 25 bps to 58 bps ABOVE the normal spread of 168 bps. Bond investors are trying to get ahead of the Fed’s future moves. Rates ROCKET up and feather down.

NEW HOME SALES and PRICES

When COVID-19 first hit the US in March 2020 sales of NEW homes immediately stalled but quickly resumed as interest rates declined.  With record-low mortgage rates, sales of NEW homes surged in late 2020 and into 2021.  As mortgage rates increased sales slowed but appear to be at levels slightly below levels that prevailed prior to March 2020.  The increased sales with multi-generational lows may have brought demand forward, thus giving the impression that NEW home sales have stalled.