CPI Prediction vs Actual for February–Inflation Headed to 3.3% Come July 12, 2023
Inflation forecast: The annual CPI total reported each month is a combined string of 12 months of data. Think of
Every Thursday
Every Thursday
4th Friday of month
3rd week of month
1st & 2nd week of month
3rd & 4th week of month
Quarterly
Ad Hoc
Inflation forecast: The annual CPI total reported each month is a combined string of 12 months of data. Think of
The number of EXISTING home sales continue to decrease as both home prices and mortgage rates increased but there is
INFLATION: The annual number reported each month is a combined string of 12 months of data, think of it as
Daily changes in the US 10 Year Treasury rates are the blue bars while the red line is the 14
For the week ending 1.12.23 Mortgage rates DECREASED 15bp to 6.56%. For a $100,000 loan the monthly payment DECREASED $10
For the week ending 1.5.23 Mortgage rates INCREASED 6bp to 6.71%.For a $100,000 loan the monthly payment INCREASED $4 to
For the week ending 12.21.22 Mortgage rates DECREASED 4bp to 6.50%. For a $100,000 loan the monthly payment DECREASED $3
For the week ending 12.15.22 Mortgage rates DECREASED 2bp to 6.54%. For a $100,000 loan the monthly payment DECREASED $1
INFLATION Forecast: The annual CPI total reported each month is a combined string of 12 months of data, think of
Daily changes in the US 10 Year Treasury rates are the blue bars while the red line is the 14
For the week ending 11.23.22 Mortgage rates DECREASED 3bp to 6.81%. For a $100,000 loan the monthly payment DECREASED $3
The number of EXISTING home sales continue to decrease as both home prices and mortgage rates increased but there is
In order to produce the below bar/line graphic, one needs matched quarterly and annual data points. It really tells a
Mortgage rates increased from 7.17% to 7.28% on 10.27.22 Spread of Mortgage to 10 Year Treasury is now 332bp which
On July 26th the DEMAND SIDE data is scheduled to be released on Unit sales, Price, and Months of Inventory. While new home sales